Investigation of Fire Weather Danger under a Changing Climate at High Resolution in Greece

Future fire weather conditions under climate change were investigated based on the Fire Weather Index (FWI), Initial Spread (ISI) and threshold-specific indicators in Greece. The indices calculated from datasets derived high-resolution validated simulations of 5 km. dynamical downscaled with WRF model driven by EC-Earth output for historical (1980–2004) future periods, two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), RCP4.5 8.5. analysis showed that FWI is expected to increase substantially, particularly southern parts extreme values found above 100. In addition, number days an 90th percentile projected considerably (above 30 days), both scenarios. Over eastern northern mainland, estimated more than 70 RCP4.5, near (2025–2049). Moreover, central north-eastern country will be affected or consecutive prolonged weather, RCP8.5 far (2075–2099). Finally, rate spread spatially extended all over compared state.